[Paper Review] Predictions and correlation analyses of Ellingham diagrams in binary oxides
This study presents a comprehensive thermodynamic analysis of 137 binary oxides using newly predicted Ellingham diagrams, enabling qualitative prediction of oxide stability in multicomponent systems. Machine learning-based correlation analysis identifies electronic structures (e.g., d- and s-valence electrons, Mendeleev numbers) and thermochemical properties (e.g., melting point, standard entropy) as key predictors of oxide-forming ability, validated by CALPHAD calculations and experimental data for Fe-20Cr-20Ni and AlCoCrFeNi high-entropy alloys.
Knowing oxide-forming ability is vital to gain desired or avoid deleterious oxides formation through tuning oxidizing environment and materials chemistry. Here, we have conducted a comprehensive thermodynamic analysis of 137 binary oxides using the presently predicted Ellingham diagrams. It is found that the active elements to form oxides easily are the f-block elements (lanthanides and actinides), elements in the groups II, III, and IV (alkaline earth, Sc, Y, Ti, Zr, and Hf), and Al and Li; while the noble elements with their oxides nonstable and easily reduced are coinage metals (Cu, Ag, and especially Au), Pt-group elements, and Hg and Se. Machine learning based sequential feature selection indicates that oxide-forming ability can be represented by electronic structures of pure elements, for example, their d- and s-valence electrons, Mendeleev numbers, and the groups, making the periodic table a useful tool to tailor oxide-forming ability. The other key elemental features to correlate oxide-forming ability are thermochemical properties such as melting points and standard entropy at 298 K of pure elements. It further shows that the present Ellingham diagrams enable qualitatively understanding and even predicting oxides formed in multicomponent materials, such as the Fe-20Cr-20Ni alloy (in wt.%) and the equimolar high entropy alloy of AlCoCrFeNi, which are in accordance with thermodynamic calculations using the CALPHAD approach and experimental observations in the literature.
Motivation & Objective
- To develop a comprehensive set of Ellingham diagrams for 137 binary oxides based on thermodynamic predictions.
- To identify fundamental elemental properties that correlate with oxide-forming ability using machine learning.
- To enable predictive understanding of oxide stability in complex multicomponent systems like Fe-20Cr-20Ni and AlCoCrFeNi high-entropy alloys.
- To validate predictions using CALPHAD calculations and experimental observations from the literature.
Proposed method
- Constructed Ellingham diagrams by calculating standard Gibbs energy changes (ΔG°) for oxide formation reactions at varying temperatures.
- Applied two reaction scenarios: (1) metal to MxOy oxide, and (2) one oxide to another (MaOb to MxOy).
- Used the CALPHAD approach for thermodynamic consistency and validation in multicomponent systems.
- Performed machine learning-based sequential feature selection with Gaussian process regression (kernel: matern52) to identify key elemental descriptors.
- Evaluated 42 elemental features (e.g., valence electrons, melting point, electronegativity) for correlation with logPO2 at 1100 K.
- Ranked features by R² goodness-of-fit to determine predictive significance for oxide stability.
Experimental results
Research questions
- RQ1Which elemental properties most strongly correlate with the thermodynamic stability of binary oxides as indicated by Ellingham diagrams?
- RQ2Can electronic structure descriptors such as d- and s-valence electrons predict oxide-forming ability across the periodic table?
- RQ3How do thermochemical properties like melting point and standard entropy at 298 K influence oxide stability?
- RQ4To what extent can the predicted Ellingham diagrams qualitatively predict oxide formation in complex multicomponent alloys like Fe-20Cr-20Ni and AlCoCrFeNi?
- RQ5Can machine learning models trained on elemental features accurately predict equilibrium oxygen partial pressures (PO2) for oxide formation?
Key findings
- The f-block elements (lanthanides, actinides), Group II, III, and IV elements (e.g., Sc, Y, Ti, Zr, Hf), and Al and Li are identified as 'active' elements with high oxide-forming ability.
- Coinage metals (Cu, Ag, Au), Pt-group elements, Hg, and Se are classified as 'noble' elements due to thermodynamically unstable oxides easily reducible under low PO2.
- The top predictive features for oxide-forming ability are NdVal (d-valence electrons, R² = 0.727), M_Num2 (Mendeleev number, R² = 0.408), and EleNeg_Pauling (Pauling electronegativity, R² = 0.593).
- Thermochemical properties such as melting point (R² = 0.004) and standard entropy at 298 K (R² = 0.073) show weaker but measurable correlations with oxide stability.
- Predicted Ellingham diagrams successfully explain oxide formation in Fe-20Cr-20Ni and equimolar AlCoCrFeNi high-entropy alloys, consistent with CALPHAD calculations and experimental observations.
- The sequential feature selection identified 15 key descriptors from 42 elemental features, with electronic structure and electronegativity emerging as dominant predictors of oxide-forming tendency.
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This review was created by AI and reviewed by human editors.