The University of Tokyo · Earth and Planetary Sciences
Professor A. Yamamoto's research lab specializes in Earth system modeling with a focus on climate change impacts on marine biogeochemistry and oceanic processes. The lab investigates long-term changes in ocean oxygenation, acidification, and carbon cycling under anthropogenic forcing, using advanced Earth system models such as MIROC-ES2L. Key research directions include nutrient cycling, primary productivity, and the feedbacks between climate change and marine ecosystems, particularly in sensitive regions like the Arctic Ocean. The lab also conducts multi-millennium simulations to understand the persistence of climate change effects beyond the 21st century.
Figures are computed from collected data and may differ slightly.
Abstract. Anthropogenic climate change is projected to lead to ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, reductions in near-surface nutrients, and changes to primary production, all of which are expected to affect marine ecosystems. Here we assess projections of these drivers of environmental change over the twenty-first century from Earth system models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) that were forced under the CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathw
Abstract. This article describes the new Earth system model (ESM), the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate, Earth System version 2 for Long-term simulations (MIROC-ES2L), using a state-of-the-art climate model as the physical core. This model embeds a terrestrial biogeochemical component with explicit carbon–nitrogen interaction to account for soil nutrient control on plant growth and the land carbon sink. The model's ocean biogeochemical component is largely updated to simulate the
Abstract Global warming is expected to decrease ocean oxygen concentrations by less solubility of surface ocean and change in ocean circulation. The associated expansion of the oxygen minimum zone would have adverse impacts on marine organisms and ocean biogeochemical cycles. Oxygen reduction is expected to persist for a thousand years or more, even after atmospheric carbon dioxide stops rising. However, long‐term changes in ocean oxygen and circulation are still unclear. Here we simulate multim
Abstract. The largest pH decline and widespread undersaturation with respect to aragonite in this century due to uptake of anthropogenic carbon dioxide in the Arctic Ocean have been projected. The reductions in pH and aragonite saturation state in the Arctic Ocean have been caused by the melting of sea ice as well as by an increase in the concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Therefore, future projections of pH and aragonite saturation in the Arctic Ocean will be affected by how rapidly t
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