Hokkaido University · Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
Professor Kento Koyama's research lab specializes in quantitative microbiology and risk assessment, focusing on the variability and uncertainty in microbial behavior under food safety conditions. The lab develops advanced statistical and machine learning models—particularly Bayesian and generalized linear models—to quantify bacterial survival, inactivation kinetics, and growth/no-growth responses. Research integrates image analysis, Raman spectroscopy, and non-destructive sensing techniques to enable non-invasive, real-time assessment of food quality and microbial risk. The lab’s work bridges microbiology, data science, and food safety to improve predictive modeling and decision-making in food systems.
Figures are computed from collected data and may differ slightly.
The visual perception of freshness is an important factor considered by consumers in the purchase of fruits and vegetables. However, panel testing when evaluating food products is time consuming and expensive. Herein, the ability of an image processing-based, nondestructive technique to classify spinach freshness was evaluated. Images of spinach leaves were taken using a smartphone camera after different storage periods. Twelve sensory panels ranked spinach freshness into one of four levels usin
We developed a model to enable the quantitative assessment of bacterial survivors of inactivation procedures because the presence of even one bacterium can cause foodborne disease. The results demonstrate that the variability in the numbers of surviving bacteria was described as a Poisson distribution by use of the model developed by use of the Poisson process. Description of the number of surviving bacteria as a probability distribution rather than as the point estimates used in a deterministic
Conventional regression analysis using the least-squares method has been applied to describe bacterial behavior logarithmically. However, only the normal distribution is used as the error distribution in the least-squares method, and the variability and uncertainty related to bacterial behavior are not considered. In this paper, we propose Bayesian statistical modeling based on a generalized linear model (GLM) that considers variability and uncertainty while fitting the model to colony count dat
Uncertainty analysis is the process of identifying limitations in scientific knowledge and evaluating their implications for scientific conclusions. In the context of microbial risk assessment, the uncertainty in the predicted microbial behavior can be an important component of the overall uncertainty. Conventional deterministic modeling approaches which provide point estimates of the pathogen's levels cannot quantify the uncertainty around the predictions. The objective of this study was to use
We develop a method to predict the growth/no growth response of previously unseen bacteria, using Raman spectral features and a machine-learning model. Twenty-one strains of bacteria were isolated from seven commercially available fresh-cut vegetables. Twenty Raman spectra of single cells were acquired for each isolated strain. The growth/no growth responses of each strain in a liquid medium were evaluated with two levels of sodium acetate concentrations, two incubation temperatures, and eight s
This study was conducted to quantitatively evaluate the variability of stress resistance in different strains of Campylobacter jejuni and the uncertainty of such strain variability. We developed Bayesian statistical models with multilevel analysis to quantify variability within a strain, variability between different strains, and the uncertainty associated with these estimates. Furthermore, we measured the inactivation of 11 strains of C. jejuni in simulated gastric fluid with low pH, using the
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