Kyoto University · Environmental Science
Shinichiro Fujimori 교수의 연구실은 기후변화와 지속가능성 문제를 통합적으로 분석하는 데 초점을 맞추고 있습니다. 주로 공유사회경제경로(SSPs) 기반의 미래 시나리오 구축과 기후정책 평가를 위한 통합평가모델(IAM)을 활용해 기후-경제-에너지-농업 시스템 간의 상호작용을 연구합니다. 특히, 토지 이용 변화와 온실가스 배출의 장기적 영향을 정량화하고, 다양한 정책 시나리오가 기후 변화에 미치는 영향을 분석합니다. 이는 기후 정책 수립과 기후위기 대응 전략 수립에 기여하는 학문적 기반을 제공합니다.
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Abstract. Human land use activities have resulted in large changes to the biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth's surface, with consequences for climate and other ecosystem services. In the future, land use activities are likely to expand and/or intensify further to meet growing demands for food, fiber, and energy. As part of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the international community has developed the next generation of advanced
Abstract. We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated assessment model results for 14 different emissions species and 13 emissions sectors are provided for each scenario with consistent transitions from the historical data used in CMIP6 to future trajectories using automated harmonization before being downscaled to provide higher emissions source spatial detail. We find th
This study quantifies the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) using AIM/CGE (Asia-Pacific Integrated Assessment/Computable General Equilibrium). SSP3 (regional rivalry) forms the main focus of the study, which is supposed to face high challenges both in mitigation and adaptation. The AIM model has been selected as the model to quantify the SSP3 marker scenario, a representative case illustrating a particular narrative. Multiple parameter assumptions in AIM/CGE were differentiated across the SSP
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