[论文解读] A System-of-Systems Convergence Paradigm for Societal Challenges of the Anthropocene

Megan S. Harris, Mohammad Mahdi Naderi+12 more|arXiv (Cornell University)|Mar 2, 2026

Complex Systems and Decision Making被引用 0

一句话总结

该论文提出了一个基于元认知映射的系统-of-systems（SoS）汇聚范式，用以整合真实世界数据、系统思维、可视化建模、数学与计算，并以塞西亚赫斯特湾流域案例通过SysML与HFGT进行演示。

ABSTRACT

Modern societal challenges, such as climate change, urbanization, and water resource management, demand integrated, multi-discipline, multi-problem approaches to frame and address their complexity. Unfortunately, current methodologies often operate within disciplinary silos, leading to fragmented insights and missed opportunities for convergence. A critical barrier to cross-disciplinary integration lies in the disparate ontologies that shape how different fields conceptualize and communicate knowledge. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a system-of-systems (SoS) convergence paradigm grounded in a meta-cognition map, a framework that integrates five complementary domains: real-world observations, systems thinking, visual modeling, mathematics, and computing. The paradigm is based on the Systems Modeling Language (SysML), offering a standardized, domain-neutral approach for representing and analyzing complex systems. The proposed methodology is demonstrated through a case study of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed, a socio-environmental system requiring coordination across land use, hydrology, economic and policy domains. By modeling this system with SysML, the study illustrates practical strategies for navigating interdisciplinary challenges and highlights the potential of agile SoS modeling to support large-scale, multi-dimensional decision-making.

研究动机与目标

• Identify why interdisciplinary convergence fails across socio-environmental systems due to fragmented ontologies and institutional silos.
• Propose a generalizable SoS convergence paradigm grounded in a meta-cognition map spanning Real-World, Systems Thinking, Visual, Mathematics, and Computing domains.
• Showcase practical integration of land use, hydrology, and economic models within a SysML/HFGT ontological framework.
• Outline an educational and institutional infrastructure to train Anthropocene System Integrators for scalable, cross-domain decision support.

提出的方法

• Introduce a meta-cognition map organizing knowledge generation across five domains: Real-World, Systems Thinking, Visual, Mathematics, Computing.
• Advocate a cohesive modeling toolbelt including Network Science, Data-Driven AI, MBSE, and Hetero-functional Graph Theory (HFGT).
• Use Systems Modeling Language (SysML) as a standardized, domain-neutral representation for SoS modeling.
• Demonstrate the paradigm through an integrated Chesapeake Bay Watershed case study coupling land use, hydrology, and economic models within a shared ontology.
• Discuss design criteria for a convergent SoS paradigm: strong systems foundation, common ontology, extensibility, analytical and synthetic capability, and problem independence.
• Describe how the paradigm supports translation across five cognitive domains and enables iterative, cross-domain knowledge generation.
• Outline training and Team Science infrastructure to develop Anthropocene System Integrators.

Figure 1 : Graphical illustration of an interconnected geophysical, biophysical, sociocultural and sociotechnical system of Anthropocene systems.

实验结果

研究问题

• RQ1 How can fragmented ontologies and siloed approaches be reconciled to support cross-domain integration in socio-environmental systems?
• RQ2 Can a SysML-based SoS convergence paradigm, guided by a meta-cognition map, enable integrated modeling of coupled human and natural processes?
• RQ3 What combination of methodologies (Network Science, AI, MBSE, HFGT) best supports multi-domain convergence and scalability?
• RQ4 How can the Chesapeake Bay Watershed be modeled in an integrated, domain-neutral framework to inform coordinated decision making?
• RQ5 What educational and institutional strategies are needed to train Anthropocene System Integrators for large-scale, cross-sector challenges?

主要发现

• Five systemic pitfalls hinder convergence: regional context dependence, fragmented ontologies, bottom-up miscoupling, co-simulation limitations, and neglect of socio-psychological dynamics.
• A meta-cognition map provides a scaffold for knowledge generation across Real-World, Systems Thinking, Visual, Mathematics, and Computing domains.
• A convergent SoS paradigm requires strong systems foundation, common ontology, extensibility, analytical and synthetic capabilities, and problem independence.
• MBSE and HFGT, alongside Network Science and Data-Driven AI, offer high convergence potential and complement each other across domains.
• The Chesapeake Bay Watershed case demonstrates how an integrated, SysML/HFGT-based framework can unify land-use, hydrology, and economics for more coherent cross-domain analysis.
• An educational and organizational plan is proposed to train Anthropocene System Integrators to operate across disciplines and scales.

Figure 2 : Tunnel vision when addressing Anthropocene societal challenges