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Jong-Sung Kwon

Seoul National University · Environmental Science

About the Lab

Professor Jong-Sung Kwon's research lab specializes in climate system modeling and seasonal climate prediction, with a focus on enhancing forecast accuracy through advanced multi-model ensemble (MME) techniques. The lab develops statistical and machine learning-based methods to correct model biases and select optimal predictors from a wide range of climate model outputs. Their work emphasizes improving seasonal climate predictions in regions with low individual model skill, particularly through error correction and data-driven model selection. The lab's research bridges climate science, statistics, and computational modeling to support climate resilience and decision-making.

seasonal climate predictionmulti-model ensemblestatistical correctionclimate modelingforecast improvement

Research Overview

Papers
400
Total Citations
20,614
Papers (5y)
127
Primary Field
Environmental Science

Research Output Trend

Figures are computed from collected data and may differ slightly.

Publications per year (5y)
127total
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Citations per year (5y)
1,456total
20222023202420252026

Selected Papers

15
1
Article|1,423 citations·2008
Two Types of El Niño Events: Cold Tongue El Niño and Warm Pool El Niño
Jong‐Seong Kug, Fei‐Fei Jin, Soon‐Il An
SJR Q1Journal of ClimateOA

Abstract In this study, two types of El Niño events are classified based on spatial patterns of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly. One is the cold tongue (CT) El Niño, which can be regarded as the conventional El Niño, and the other the warm pool (WP) El Niño. The CT El Niño is characterized by relatively large SST anomalies in the Niño-3 region (5°S–5°N, 150°–90°W), while the WP El Niño is associated with SST anomalies mostly confined to the Niño-4 region (5°S–5°N, 160°E–150°W). In addi

Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
2
Article|593 citations·2013
Sea surface temperature in the north tropical Atlantic as a trigger for El Niño/Southern Oscillation events
Yoo‐Geun Ham, Jong‐Seong Kug, Jong‐Yeon Park, Fei‐Fei Jin
SJR Q1Nature Geoscience
Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
3
Article|572 citations·2015
Two distinct influences of Arctic warming on cold winters over North America and East Asia
Jong‐Seong Kug, Jee‐Hoon Jeong, Yeon‐Soo Jang, Baek‐Min Kim, Chris K. Folland, Seung‐Ki Min, Seok‐Woo Son
SJR Q1Nature Geoscience
Atmospheric ScienceEarth and Planetary Sciences
4
Article|345 citations·2006
Interactive Feedback between ENSO and the Indian Ocean
Jong‐Seong Kug, In‐Sik Kang
SJR Q1Journal of Climate

Abstract A feedback process of the Indian Ocean SST on ENSO is investigated by using observed data and atmospheric GCM. It is suggested that warming in the Indian Ocean produces an easterly wind stress anomaly over Indonesia and the western edge of the Pacific during the mature phase of El Niño. The anomalous easterly wind in the western Pacific during El Niño helps a rapid termination of El Niño and a fast transition to La Niña by generating upwelling Kelvin waves. Thus, warming in the Indian O

Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
5
Article|222 citations·2009
Warm Pool and Cold Tongue El Niño Events as Simulated by the GFDL 2.1 Coupled GCM
Jong‐Seong Kug, Jung Ho Choi, Soon‐Il An, Fei‐Fei Jin, Andrew T. Wittenberg
SJR Q1Journal of ClimateOA

Abstract Recent studies report that two types of El Niño events have been observed. One is the cold tongue (CT) El Niño, which is characterized by relatively large sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the eastern Pacific, and the other is the warm pool (WP) El Niño, in which SST anomalies are confined to the central Pacific. Here, both types of El Niño events are analyzed in a long-term coupled GCM simulation. The present model simulates the major observed features of both types of El Niño

Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
6
Article|203 citations·2013
Two distinct roles of Atlantic SSTs in ENSO variability: North Tropical Atlantic SST and Atlantic Niño
Yoo‐Geun Ham, Jong‐Seong Kug, Jong‐Yeon Park
SJR Q1Geophysical Research LettersOA

Abstract Two distinct roles of the Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs), namely, the North Tropical Atlantic (NTA) SST and the Atlantic Niño, on the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability are investigated using the observational data from 1980 to 2010 and coupled model experiments. It appears that the NTA SST and the Atlantic Niño can be used as two independent predictors for predicting the development of ENSO events in the following season. Furthermore, they are likely to be linked

Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
7
Article|199 citations·2011
How well do current climate models simulate two types of El Nino?
Yoo‐Geun Ham, Jong‐Seong Kug
SJR Q1Climate Dynamics
Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
8
Article|158 citations·2011
Are there two types of La Nina?
Jong‐Seong Kug, Yoo‐Geun Ham
SJR Q1Geophysical Research LettersOA

[1] In this study, the existence of two types of La Nina events is examined using observations and model output. We find that cold events in the central and eastern Pacific SST, are highly correlated unlike the corresponding warm events. When two types of La Nina are defined based on the same criteria for the types of warm events, the SST and precipitation patterns between the two types of La Nina are much less distinctive or less independent. In other words, there is a strong asymmetric charact

Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
9
Article|151 citations·2014
Recent progress on two types of El Niño: Observations, dynamics, and future changes
Sang‐Wook Yeh, Jong‐Seong Kug, Soon-Il An
SJR Q2Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
10
Article|148 citations·2020
Extensive fires in southeastern Siberian permafrost linked to preceding Arctic Oscillation
Jin‐Soo Kim, Jong‐Seong Kug, Sujong Jeong, Hotaek Park, Gabriela Schaepman‐Strub
SJR Q1Science AdvancesOA

Carbon release through boreal fires could considerably accelerate Arctic warming; however, boreal fire occurrence mechanisms and dynamics remain largely unknown. Here, we analyze fire activity and relevant large-scale atmospheric conditions over southeastern Siberia, which has the largest burned area fraction in the circumboreal and high-level carbon emissions due to high-density peatlands. It is found that the annual burned area increased when a positive Arctic Oscillation (AO) takes place in e

Atmospheric ScienceEarth and Planetary Sciences
11
Article|131 citations·2006
Role of the ENSO–Indian Ocean coupling on ENSO variability in a coupled GCM
Jong‐Seong Kug, Tim Li, Soon‐Il An, In‐Sik Kang, Jing‐Jia Luo, Sébastien Masson, Toshio Yamagata
SJR Q1Geophysical Research Letters

The effect of the Indian Ocean on El Niño/La Niña life cycles has been studied using 200‐yrs simulation data of a coupled GCM. The results show that the interactive feedback between the ENSO and the Indian Ocean holds the key to the rapid transition to an opposite phase. This remote impact of the Indian Ocean SST anomaly is linked to the change of zonal wind stress in the western Pacific, which leads to a rapid demise of El Nino/La Nina. Without the involvement of the Indian Ocean, the phase tra

Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
12
Article|113 citations·2021
Hysteresis of the intertropical convergence zone to CO2 forcing
Jong‐Seong Kug, Ji‐Hoon Oh, Soon‐Il An, Sang‐Wook Yeh, Seung‐Ki Min, Seok‐Woo Son, Jonghun Kam, Yoo‐Geun Ham, Jongsoo Shin
SJR Q1Nature Climate Change
Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science
13
Article|103 citations·2013
The role of mineral-dust aerosols in polar temperature amplification
Fabrice Lambert, Jong‐Seong Kug, Rokjin J. Park, N. M. Mahowald, Gisela Winckler, Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Ryouta O’ishi, Toshihiko Takemura, J. H. Lee
SJR Q1Nature Climate Change
Atmospheric ScienceEarth and Planetary Sciences
14
Article|96 citations·2009
Left‐hand rule for synoptic eddy feedback on low‐frequency flow
Jong‐Seong Kug, Fei‐Fei Jin
SJR Q1Geophysical Research LettersOA

In this study, scale interaction between synoptic eddies and low‐frequency flow is investigated. The synoptic eddy feedback is a key process in sustaining the low‐frequency flow. We show clear evidence using NCEP reanalysis data that there is a general underlying rule—the “left‐hand rule”, governing the synoptic eddy feedback onto low‐frequency flow. This rule states that eddy‐vorticity fluxes are directed preferentially about 90 degrees toward their left‐hand side, so that they converge into cy

Computational MechanicsEngineering
15
Article|90 citations·2016
The weakening of the ENSO–Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) coupling strength in recent decades
Yoo‐Geun Ham, Jun‐Young Choi, Jong‐Seong Kug
SJR Q1Climate Dynamics
Global and Planetary ChangeEnvironmental Science

Research Areas

Global and Planetary ChangeAtmospheric ScienceOceanographyEnvironmental EngineeringEcologyGeology

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