北海道大学 · Medicine
김이토 교수의 연구실은 전염병 역학과 유전체 정보를 융합한 수학적 모델링을 중심으로, 코로나19 오미크론 변이의 전파 특성과 변이 간 경쟁적 우월성에 대한 정량적 분석을 수행하고 있습니다. 특히 유전체 시퀀스 데이터를 기반으로 한 유효 복제수(R<sub>eff</sub>) 추정 및 변이 빈도 변화의 동적 경로 분석을 통해 감염병의 전파 메커니즘을 규명하고자 합니다. 또한 메타게놈 분석 기반의 박테리아 검출 정밀도 향상 및 통합형 웹 애플리케이션 개발 기술 등 생물정보학과 소프트웨어 기반 연구도 함께 진행하고 있습니다.
표시된 성과는 수집된 데이터 기준으로 산출되며, 일부 차이가 있을 수 있습니다.
The Omicron variant of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has become widespread across the world in a flashing manner. As of December 7, 2021, a total of 758 Omicron cases were confirmed in Denmark. Using the nucleotide sequences of the Delta and Omicron variants registered from Denmark in the GISAID database, we found that the effective (instantaneous) reproduction number of Omicron is 3.19 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.82-3.61) times greater than that of Delta
Using numbers of SARS-CoV-2 variants detected in Japan as at 13 June 2021, relative instantaneous reproduction numbers (R<sub>RI</sub>) of the R.1, Alpha, and Delta variants with respect to other strains circulating in Japan were estimated at 1.25, 1.44, and 1.95. Depending on the assumed serial interval distributions, R<sub>RI</sub> varies from 1.20-1.32 for R.1, 1.34-1.58 for Alpha, and 1.70-2.30 for Delta. The frequency of Delta is expected to take over Alpha in Japan before 23 July 2021.
The Omicron variant spreads fastest as ever among the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronaviruses 2 (SARS-CoV-2) we had so far. The BA.1 and BA.2 sublineages of Omicron are circulating worldwide and it is urgent to evaluate the transmission advantages of these sublineages. Using a mathematical model describing trajectories of variant frequencies that assumes a constant ratio in mean generation times and a constant ratio in effective reproduction numbers among variants, trajectories of varian
HTML-based interface technologies enable end-users to easily use various remote Web applications. However, it is difficult for end-users to compose new integrated tools of both existing Web applications and legacy local applications such as spreadsheets, chart tools and database. In this paper, the authors propose a new framework where end-users can wrap remote Web applications into visual components called pads, and functionally combine them together through drag & drop-paste operations. The au
Human influenza A viruses undergo antigenic changes with gradual accumulation of amino acid substitutions on the hemagglutinin (HA) molecule. A strong antigenic mismatch between vaccine and epidemic strains often requires the replacement of influenza vaccines worldwide. To establish a practical model enabling us to predict the future direction of the influenza virus evolution, relative distances of amino acid sequences among past epidemic strains were analyzed by multidimensional scaling (MDS).
Metagenomic analysis has become a powerful tool to analyze bacterial communities in environmental samples. However, the detection of a specific bacterial species using metagenomic analysis remains difficult due to false positive detections of sequences shared between different bacterial species. In this study, 16S rRNA amplicon and shotgun metagenomic analyses were conducted on samples collected along a stream and ponds in the campus of Hokkaido University. We compared different database search
Abstract The Omicron variant is the most transmissible variant of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) we had so far. The BA.1 and BA.2 sublineages of Omicron are circulating in Europe and it is urgent to evaluate the transmissibility of these sub-lineages. Using a mathematical model describing trajectories of variant frequencies that assumes a constant ratio in generation times and a constant ratio in effective reproduction numbers among variants, trajectories of var
Abstract The B.1.1.7 strain, also referred to as Alpha variant, is a variant strain of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The Alpha variant is considered to possess higher transmissibility compared to the strains previously circulating in England. This paper proposes a new method to estimate the selective advantage of a mutant strain over another strain using the time course of strain frequencies and the distribution of the serial interval of infections. This metho