Kyoto University · 경제학
Shinji Kakinaka 교수의 연구실은 금융시장의 비선형성과 자기유사성 특성을 다루는 프랙탈 분석 기반의 금융공학 연구를 중심으로, 암호자산 시장의 비효율성, 이질적 파동성 구조, 비정규 분포 특성 등을 심층적으로 분석하고 있습니다. 특히, 다중분形성(Multifractality), 비대칭 파동성, 스케일 의존성 등 다양한 시간 스케일에서의 시장 거동을 규명하며, 투자자의 스케일 선호도 변화가 포트폴리오 성과에 미치는 영향을 탐구하고 있습니다. 이는 프랙탈 마켓 가설과 연계된 실용적 투자 전략 개발로 이어집니다.
표시된 성과는 수집된 데이터 기준으로 산출되며, 일부 차이가 있을 수 있습니다.
This study investigates asymmetric multifractality and market efficiency of the major cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 pandemic while accounting for different investment horizons. By applying the asymmetric multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis, we show that the outbreak affected the efficiency property of price behaviors differently between short- and long-term horizons. After the outbreak, the markets exhibited stronger multifractality in the short-term but weaker multifractality in
Asymmetric relationship between price and volatility is a prominent feature of the financial market time series. This paper explores the price–volatility nexus in cryptocurrency markets and investigates the presence of asymmetric volatility effect between uptrend (bull) and downtrend (bear) regimes. The conventional GARCH-class models have shown that in cryptocurrency markets, asymmetric reactions of volatility to returns differ from those of other traditional financial assets. We address this i
This study investigates the scale-dependent structure of asymmetric volatility effect in six representative cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin, Monero, and Dash. By developing the dynamical approach of DFA-based fractal regression analysis, we detect whether the volatility of price changes is positively or negatively related to return shocks at different time scales. We find that the asymmetric volatility phenomenon varies by scale and cryptocurrency, and the structure is time
Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law parameters with the requirement of using momental points for the characteristic function, but the selection of points is only poorly explained and has not been elaborated. We propose a new characteristic function-based approach by introducing a technique of s
The mean-DCCA portfolio is known to consider the assets' nonlinearity and scaling properties by embedding the fractal correlation into the mean-variance criterion, with specific strategies under the assumption that the scale preference of investors is constant.We examine whether accounting for changes in investors' scale preference in response to market conditions improves portfolio performance.A portfolio with preference on short-scales is effective under market uncertainty, while long-scale pr
The recent emergence of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum has posed possible alternatives to global payments as well as financial assets around the globe, making investors and financial regulators aware of the importance of modeling them correctly. The Levy's stable distribution is one of the attractive distributions that well describes the fat tails and scaling phenomena in economic systems. In this paper, we show that the behaviors of price fluctuations in emerging cryptocurrency m
Asymmetric relationship between price and volatility is a prominent feature of the financial market time series. This paper explores the price-volatility nexus in cryptocurrency markets and investigates the presence of asymmetric volatility effect between uptrend (bull) and downtrend (bear) regimes. The conventional GARCH-class models have shown that in cryptocurrency markets, asymmetric reactions of volatility to returns differ from those of other traditional financial assets. We address this i