안재윤 교수

High-dimension, low-small-sample size datasets have different geometrical properties from those of traditional low-dimensional data. In their asymptotic study regarding increasing dimensionality with a fixed sample size, Hall et al. (2005) showed that each data vector is approximately located on the vertices of a regular simplex in a high-dimensional space. A perhaps unappealing aspect of their result is the underlying assumption which requires the variables, viewed as a time series, to be almos

We study a discriminant direction vector that generally exists only in high-dimension, low sample size settings. Projections of data onto this direction vector take on only two distinct values, one for each class. There exist infinitely many such directions in the subspace generated by the data; but the maximal data piling vector has the longest distance between the projections. This paper investigates mathematical properties and classification performance of this discrimination method.

A Bonus-Malus System (BMS) in insurance is a premium adjustment mechanism widely used in a posteriori ratemaking process to set the premium for the next contract period based on a policyholder's claim history. The current practice in BMS implementation relies on the assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity, despite the fact that a series of recent studies report evidence of a significant frequency-severity relationship, particularly in automobile insurance. To address this

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model, and two-part frequency-severity model. This study focuses on the copula approach to develop collective risk models that allow a flexible dependence structure for frequency and severity. We first revisit the bivariate copula method for frequency and average sever

The collective risk model (CRM) for frequency and severity is an important tool for retail insurance ratemaking, natural disaster forecasting, as well as operational risk in banking regulation. This model, initially designed for cross-sectional data, has recently been adapted to a longitudinal context for both a priori and a posteriori ratemaking, through random effects specifications. However, the random effects are usually assumed to be static due to computational concerns, leading to predicti

Abstract The α-level value at risk (Var) and the α-level conditional tail expectation (CTE) of a continuous random variable X are defined as its α-level quantile (denoted by qα ) and its conditional expectation given the event {X > qα }, respectively. Var is a popular risk measure in the banking sector, for both external and internal reporting purposes, while the CTE has recently become the risk measure of choice for insurance regulation in North America. Estimation of the CTE for company assets