김성문 교수
Seongmoon Kim
연세대학교 경영학과 · 의사결정과학
연구실 소개
김성문 교수의 연구실은 포트폴리오 최적화와 자산 배분 전략에 초점을 맞춘 금융공학 및 투자 전략 연구를 수행합니다. 특히 마크owitz 최적화 모델의 정확도 문제를 해결하고자 추정 오차에 대한 영향을 분석하며, 최근 데이터에 더 무게를 두는 EWMA 기반의 투자 의사결정 프레임워크를 개발했습니다. 또한 시장 예측에 따라 투자 목표를 유연하게 조정하는 동적 포트폴리오 모델(DPSM)과 자가 조정형 리밸런싱(SAR) 기법을 결합한 적응형 투자 전략을 제안하여 실제 시장 변화에 대응하는 실용적 접근을 강조합니다. 특히 유사도 기반의 포트폴리오 조합 알고리즘을 통해 추정 오차로 인한 성과 저하를 완화하는 연구도 진행 중입니다.
연구 현황
연구 성과 추이
표시된 성과는 수집된 데이터 기준으로 산출되며, 일부 차이가 있을 수 있습니다.
주요 논문
15This paper investigated performance of the Markowitz’s portfolio selection model with applications to Korean stock market. We chose Samsung-Group-Funds and KOSPI index for performance comparison with the Markowitz’s portfolio selection model. For the most recent one and a half year period between March 2007 and September 2008, KOSPI index almost remained the same with only 0.1% change, Samsung-Group-Funds showed 20.54% return, and Markowitz’s model, which is composed of the same 17 Samsung group
In this paper, we propose an adaptive investment strategy (AIS) based on a dynamic portfolio selection model (DPSM) that uses a time-varying investment target according to the market forecast. The DPSM allows for flexible investments, setting relatively aggressive investment targets when market growth is expected and relatively conservative targets when the market is expected to be less attractive. The model further allows investments to be liquidated into risk-free assets when the market foreca
In applying Markowitz’s portfolio selection model to the stock market, we developed a comprehensive investment decision-making framework including key inputs for portfolio theory (i.e., individual stocks’ expected rate of return and covariance) and minimum required expected return. For estimating the key inputs of our decision-making framework, we utilized an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) which places more emphasis on recent data than the conventional simple moving average (SMA).
Markowitz’s portfolio selection model is used to construct an optimal portfolio which has minimum variance, whilesatisfying a minimum required expected return. The model uses estimators based on analysis of historical data toestimate the returns, standard deviations, and correlation coefficients of individual stocks being considered forinvestment. However, due to the inaccuracies involved in estimations, the true optimality of a portfolio constructedusing the model is questionable. To investigat
Abstract We propose distance‐based portfolio‐combining algorithms to improve out‐of‐sample performance in the presence of estimation errors. Our algorithms use approaches similar to the shrinkage method but with a different weighting scheme: the Euclidean distance. The Euclidean distance of a portfolio is its 2‐norm distance to the in‐sample tangency portfolio. These algorithms aim to construct a portfolio with a small Euclidean distance by making a convex combination of any number of portfolios
In this paper, we propose a comprehensive investment strategy for not only selecting but also maintaining an investment portfolio that takes into account changing market conditions. First, we implement a dynamic portfolio selection model (DPSM) that uses a time-varying investment target according to market forecasts. We then develop a self-adjusted rebalancing (SAR) method to assess the portfolio’s relevance to current market conditions, and further identify the appropriate timing for rebalancin
We develop a nonlinear integer programming model which minimizes the total cost with the optimal number of operators to hire and their optimal allocation to the tasks under the diverse constraints such as the weekly, daily, and hourly maximum allowable abandonment rates for the time-varying inbound call volume. We present a case study based on actual data at a call center, in order to prove the validity of applying the optimization method proposed. By the one-sample two-tailed t-test, we confirm
Patients entering an emergency care center in a hospital usually visit medical processes in different orders depending on the urgency level and the medical treatments required. We formulate the patient flows among diverse processes in an emergency care center using the Jackson network, which is one of the queueing networks, in order to evaluate the system performances such as the expected queue length and the expected waiting time. We present a case study based on actual data collected from an e
This paper develops an investment algorithm based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Theory, using historical stock return data, and empirically evaluates the performance of the proposed algorithm in the U.S. and the Hong Kong stock markets. The proposed investment algorithm is empirically tested with the 30 constituents of Dow Jones Industrial Average in the U.S. stock market, and the 30 constituents of Hang Seng Index in the Hong Kong stock market. During the 6-year investment period, starting
We develop a nonlinear integer programming model which minimizes the total cost with the optimal number of operators to hire and their optimal allocation to the tasks under the diverse constraints such as the weekly, daily, and hourly maximum allowable abandonment rates for the time-varying inbound call volume. We present a case study based on actual data at a call center, in order to prove the validity of applying the optimization method proposed. By the one-sample two-tailed t-test, we confirm
대표 연구 분야
김성문 교수의 연구를 Nubint에서 더 깊이 살펴보세요
이 연구실의 논문을 앱에서 열어 AI와 함께 읽고, 핵심을 요약하고, 내 글에 인용하세요.