Skip to main content

조성훈 교수

Sung-hoon Jo

연세대학교 경제학과 · 경제학

연구실 소개

조성훈 교수의 연구실은 신케인저시안 거시경제 모델과 수익률 곡선 모형을 융합하여 통화정책의 전파 메커니즘과 거시경제 충격에 대한 시장 반응을 정량적으로 분석합니다. 특히, 비관측 변수인 인플레이션 목표율과 자연실업률을 거시경제 데이터와 수익률 곡선 정보에서 추정함으로써 통화정책의 실질적 영향력을 규명합니다. 연구는 주로 연준과 한국은행의 통화정책이 인플레이션과 실업률 변동을 어떻게 조정하는지에 초점을 맞추고 있으며, 특히 금리 반응 규칙과 정책의 안정성에 대한 분석을 강점으로 삼고 있습니다.

신케인저시안 모델수익률 곡선통화정책 전파비관측 변수 추정정책 규칙 분석

연구 현황

논문 수
53
총 인용 수
941
최근 5년 논문
7
주요 분야
경제학

연구 성과 추이

표시된 성과는 수집된 데이터 기준으로 산출되며, 일부 차이가 있을 수 있습니다.

5개년 연도별 논문 게재 수
7총합
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
5개년 연도별 피인용 수
6총합
20222023202420252026

주요 논문

15
1
논문|인용수 289·2009
New Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure
Geert Bekaert, Seonghoon Cho, Antonio Moreno
SJR Q1Journal of money credit and banking

This article complements the structural New Keynesian macro framework with a no‐arbitrage affine term structure model. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro model with unobservable processes for the inflation target and the natural rate of output that are filtered from macro and term structure data. We find that term structure information helps generate large and significant parameters governing the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Our model also delivers stron

General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
2
논문|인용수 104·2006
A Small-Sample Study of the New-Keynesian Macro Model
Seonghoon Cho, Antonio Moreno
SJR Q1Journal of money credit and bankingOA

This paper presents a small-sample study of the threeequation-three variable New-Keynesian macro model. While the point estimates imply that the Fed has been stabilizing inflation fluctuations since 1980, our econometric analysis suggests considerable uncertainty regarding the stance of the Fed against inflation. We show that, if we add first order autocorrelation to the error terms of the New-Keynesian model, this is only marginally rejected.

General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
3
preprint|인용수 79·2005
New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure
Seonghoon Cho, Antonio Moreno, Geert Bekaert
RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOA

This article complements the structural New-Keynesian macro framework with a no-arbitrage affine term structure model. Whereas our methodology is general, we focus on an extended macro-model with an unobservable time varying inflation target and the natural rate of output which are filtered from macro and term structure data. We obtain large and significant estimates of the Phillips curve and real interest rate response parameters. Our model also delivers strong contemporaneous responses of the

General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
4
논문|인용수 41·2010
The forward method as a solution refinement in rational expectations models
Seonghoon Cho, Antonio Moreno
SJR Q1Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Economics and EconometricsEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
5
논문|인용수 40·2015
Sufficient conditions for determinacy in a class of Markov-switching rational expectations models
Seonghoon Cho
SJR Q1Review of Economic Dynamics
General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
6
논문|인용수 31·2011
Characterizing Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models
Seonghoon Cho
SSRN Electronic JournalOA
General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
7
논문|인용수 24·2018
Fixed point theorems for generalized weakly contractive mappings in metric spaces with applications
Seonghoon Cho
SJR Q3Fixed Point Theory and ApplicationsOA

In this paper, motivated and inspired by Samet et al., we introduce the notion of generalized weakly contractive mappings in metric spaces and prove the existence and uniqueness of fixed point for such mappings, and we obtain a coupled fixed point theorem in metric spaces. These theorems generalize many previously obtained fixed point results. An example is given to illustrate the main result. Finally, we give applications of our results to fixed point results in partial metric spaces.

Geometry and TopologyMathematics
8
논문|인용수 23·2008
The Forward Method as a Solution Refinement in Rational Expectations Models
Seonghoon Cho, Antonio Moreno
SSRN Electronic JournalOA
Economics and EconometricsEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
9
논문|인용수 12·2021
Determinacy and classification of Markov-switching rational expectations models
Seonghoon Cho
SJR Q1Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
10
preprint|인용수 11·2003
A Structural Estimation and Interpretation of the New Keynesian Macro Model
Seonghoon Cho, Antonio Moreno
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics

We formulate and solve a Rational Expectations New Keynesian macro model that implies non-linear cross-equation restrictions on the dynamics of inflation, the output gap and the Federal funds rate. Our maximum likelihood estimation procedure fully imposes these restrictions and yields asymptotic and small sample distributions of the structural parameters. We show how the structural parameters shape the responses of the macro variables to the structural shocks. While the point estimates imply tha

General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
11
논문|인용수 10·2015
Refining linear rational expectations models and equilibria
Seonghoon Cho, Bennett T. McCallum
SJR Q2Journal of Macroeconomics
General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
12
논문|인용수 9·2009
Another weakness of “determinacy” as a selection criterion for rational expectations models
Seonghoon Cho, Bennett T. McCallum
SJR Q2Economics Letters
General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
13
논문|인용수 8·2002
A Structural Estimation and Interpretation of the New
Keynesian Macro Model
Seonghoon Cho, António Moreno
SSRN Electronic JournalOA
General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
14
논문|인용수 7·2018
Determinacy and Classification of Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models
Seonghoon Cho
SSRN Electronic JournalOA
General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
15
논문|인용수 7·2007
AN EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENT OF THE KOREAN MONETARY POLICY SINCE THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE CRISIS
조성훈

This paper evaluates the effectiveness of monetary policy on stabilizing inflation and output for the post-crisis era. The paper examines whether a sizable moderation in inflation, observed in this period, is consistent with the monetary policy of the Bank of Korea through its interest rate channel. Although the inflation rates have been within the inflation target range of the central bank for the post-crisis era, we find that such an empirical fact is not supported by the interest rate feedbac

대표 연구 분야

General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics and EconometricsManagement Science and Operations ResearchGeometry and TopologyFinanceGeneral Health Professions

조성훈 교수의 연구를 Nubint에서 더 깊이 살펴보세요

이 연구실의 논문을 앱에서 열어 AI와 함께 읽고, 핵심을 요약하고, 내 글에 인용하세요.