김태환 교수
Taehwan Kim
연세대학교 경제학과 · 경제학
연구실 소개
김태환 교수의 연구실은 양자점 회귀, 단위근검정, 모형 오특도 문제 등에서의 통계적 추론 이론을 중심으로 하며, 특히 조건부 분위수 회귀(quantile regression)와 그 응용에 초점을 맞추고 있습니다. 모형이 잘못 지정된 상황에서도 탄탄한 추정과 검정이 가능한 방법론 개발에 힘쓰고 있으며, 주로 금융 시장의 비정규성(비대칭성, 뾰족함)과 경제 정책의 비대칭적 반응을 분석하는 데 응용됩니다. 특히, 전통적인 평균 기반 분석의 한계를 보완하기 위해 회귀 분석의 다각적 접근을 통해 실증경제학의 신뢰성을 제고하는 데 기여하고 있습니다.
연구 현황
연구 성과 추이
표시된 성과는 수집된 데이터 기준으로 산출되며, 일부 차이가 있을 수 있습니다.
주요 논문
15We present the asymptotic properties of double‐stage quantile regression estimators with random regressors, where the first stage is based on quantile regressions with the same quantile as in the second stage, which ensures robustness of the estimation procedure. We derive invariance properties with respect to the reformulation of the dependent variable. We propose a consistent estimator of the variance–covariance matrix of the new estimator. Finally, we investigate finite sample properties of t
To date, the literature on quantile regression and least absolute deviation regression has assumed either explicitly or implicitly that the conditional quantile regression model is correctly specified. When the model is misspecified, confidence intervals and hypothesis tests based on the conventional covariance matrix are invalid. Although misspecification is a generic phenomenon and correct specification is rare in reality, there has to date been no theory proposed for inference when a conditio
For both the academic and the financial communities it is a familiar stylized fact that stock market returns have negative skewness and excess kurtosis. This stylized fact has been supported by a vast collection of empirical studies. Given that the conventional measures of skewness and kurtosis are computed as an average and that averages are not robust, we ask, "How useful are the measures of skewness and kurtosis used in previous empirical studies?" To answer this question we provide a survey
This paper offers a new approach that estimates the response of interest rates to inflation and the output gap at various points (quantiles) on the conditional distribution of interest rates. This offers an improvement on empirical estimates conducted only at the mean and also allows us to test the propositions that policy shows greater aggression to inflation in the reaction function in terms of a greater response coefficient as interest rates reach low levels, and increasing aggression as the
This study considers the possibility of estimating a Dickey-Fuller regression, constraining the autoregressive parameter to be at most one, and imposing prior knowledge of the sign of the drift parameter. In spite of apparently encouraging asymptotic results, it emerges that no feasible test of the unit root null hypothesis with superior finite sample properties follows from such inequality-restricted estimation.
In this paper, we concentrate on the case of an exogeneously chosen break date, but entertain the possibility that an incorrect choice is made. In fact, the Perron test statistics considered are invariant to any break in the generating process at the assumed break date. Our results therefore apply equally to the case of a generating process with two breaks, only one of which is specifically accounted for in the analysis. As in Leybourne et al . (1998), we find that a neglected relatively early b
Abstract. We analyse the case where a unit‐root test is based on a Dickey–Fuller regression the only deterministic term of which is a fixed intercept. Suppose, however, as could well be the case, that the actual data‐generating process includes a broken linear trend. It is shown theoretically, and verified empirically, that under the I (1) null and I (0) alternative hypotheses the Dickey–Fuller test can display a wide range of different characteristics depending on the nature and location of the
As the demands for implementing High Performance Computing (HPC) increase rapidly, the bandwidth and capacity required for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) are expected to increase by two to three times per generation. Owing to these increased requirements, the power of the next HBM is expected to exceed 30W, and the number of stacks of the HBM leads to a high-level stack demand of 12 and beyond, which also increases the physical thermal resistance of the HBM. Therefore, it is inevitable to strive to
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